info:40_years_from_now_-_2008
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- | I have always enjoyed these looks into the future and how wrong they usually are. | + | I have always enjoyed these looks into the future and how wrong they usually are. This was written in 1968. |
- | | + | **40 Years in the Future** |
- | | + | //By James R. Berry// |
- | IT’S 8 a.m., Tuesday, Nov. 18, 2008, and you are headed for | + | It’S 8 a.m., Tuesday, Nov. 18, 2008, and you are headed for |
- | a business appointment 300 mi. away. You slide into your | + | a business appointment 300 mi. away. You slide into your |
- | sleek, two-passenger air-cushion car, press a sequence of | + | sleek, two-passenger air-cushion car, press a sequence of |
- | buttons and the national traffic computer notes your | + | buttons and the national traffic computer notes your |
- | destination, | + | destination, |
- | signals your car to slide out of the garage. Hands free, you | + | signals your car to slide out of the garage. Hands free, you |
- | sit back and begin to read the morning paper—which is | + | sit back and begin to read the morning paper—which is |
- | flashed on a flat TV screen over the car’s dashboard. | + | flashed on a flat TV screen over the car’s dashboard. |
- | Tapping a button changes the page. | + | Tapping a button changes the page. |
- | | + | The car accelerates to 150 mph in the city’s suburbs, then |
- | hits 250 mph in less built-up areas, gliding over the smooth | + | hits 250 mph in less built-up areas, gliding over the smooth |
- | plastic road. You whizz past a string of cities, many of | + | plastic road. You whizz past a string of cities, many of |
- | them covered by the new domes that keep them evenly | + | them covered by the new domes that keep them evenly |
- | climatized year round. Traffic is heavy, typically, but | + | climatized year round. Traffic is heavy, typically, but |
- | there’s no need to worry. The traffic computer, which feeds | + | there’s no need to worry. The traffic computer, which feeds |
- | and receives signals to and from all cars in transit between | + | and receives signals to and from all cars in transit between |
- | cities, keeps vehicles at least 50 yds. apart. There hasn’t | + | cities, keeps vehicles at least 50 yds. apart. There hasn’t |
- | been an accident since the system was inaugurated. Suddenly | + | been an accident since the system was inaugurated. Suddenly |
- | your TV phone buzzes. A business associate wants a sketch of | + | your TV phone buzzes. A business associate wants a sketch of |
- | a new kind of impeller your firm is putting out for sports | + | a new kind of impeller your firm is putting out for sports |
- | boats. You reach for your attache case and draw the diagram | + | boats. You reach for your attache case and draw the diagram |
- | with a pencil-thin infrared flashlight on what looks like a | + | with a pencil-thin infrared flashlight on what looks like a |
- | TV screen lining the back of the case. The diagram is | + | TV screen lining the back of the case. The diagram is |
- | relayed to a similar screen in your associate’s office, 200 | + | relayed to a similar screen in your associate’s office, 200 |
- | mi. away. He jabs a button and a fixed copy of the sketch | + | mi. away. He jabs a button and a fixed copy of the sketch |
- | rolls out of the device. He wishes you good luck at the | + | rolls out of the device. He wishes you good luck at the |
- | coming meeting and signs off. | + | coming meeting and signs off. |
- | | + | Ninety minutes after leaving your home, you slide beneath |
- | the dome of your destination city. Your car decelerates and | + | the dome of your destination city. Your car decelerates and |
- | heads for an outer-core office building where you’ll meet | + | heads for an outer-core office building where you’ll meet |
- | your colleagues. After you get out, the vehicle parks itself | + | your colleagues. After you get out, the vehicle parks itself |
- | in a convenient municipal garage to await your return. | + | in a convenient municipal garage to await your return. |
- | Private cars are banned inside most city cores. Moving | + | Private cars are banned inside most city cores. Moving |
- | sidewalks and electrams carry the public from one location | + | sidewalks and electrams carry the public from one location |
- | to another. | + | to another. |
- | | + | With the U.S. population having soared to 350 million, 2008 |
- | transportation is among the most important factors keeping | + | transportation is among the most important factors keeping |
- | the economy running smoothly. Giant transportation hubs | + | the economy running smoothly. Giant transportation hubs |
- | called modemixers are located anywhere from 15 to 50 mi. | + | called modemixers are located anywhere from 15 to 50 mi. |
- | outside all major urban centers. Tube trains, pushed through | + | outside all major urban centers. Tube trains, pushed through |
- | bores by compressed air, make the trip between modemixer and | + | bores by compressed air, make the trip between modemixer and |
- | central city in 10 to 15 minutes. | + | central city in 10 to 15 minutes. |
- | | + | A major feature of most modemixers is the launching pad from |
- | which 200-passenger rockets blast off for other continents. | + | which 200-passenger rockets blast off for other continents. |
- | For less well-heeled travelers there are SST and hypersonic | + | For less well-heeled travelers there are SST and hypersonic |
- | planes that carry 200 to 300 passengers at speeds up to | + | planes that carry 200 to 300 passengers at speeds up to |
- | 4,000 mph. Short trips— between cities less than 1,000 mi. | + | 4,000 mph. Short trips— between cities less than 1,000 mi. |
- | apart—are handled by slower jumbo jets. | + | apart—are handled by slower jumbo jets. |
- | | + | Homes in Mi’s 80th year are practically self-maintaining. |
- | Electrostatic precipitators clean the air and climatizers | + | Electrostatic precipitators clean the air and climatizers |
- | maintain the temperature and humidity at optimum levels. | + | maintain the temperature and humidity at optimum levels. |
- | Robots are available to do housework and other simple | + | Robots are available to do housework and other simple |
- | chores. New materials for siding and interiors are self- | + | chores. New materials for siding and interiors are self- |
- | cleaning and never peel, chip or crack. | + | cleaning and never peel, chip or crack. |
- | | + | Dwellings for the most part are assembled from prefabricated |
- | modules, which can be attached speedily in the configuration | + | modules, which can be attached speedily in the configuration |
- | that best suits the homeowner. Once the foundation is laid, | + | that best suits the homeowner. Once the foundation is laid, |
- | attaching the modules to make up a two- or three-bedroom | + | attaching the modules to make up a two- or three-bedroom |
- | house is a job that doesn’t take more than a day. Such | + | house is a job that doesn’t take more than a day. Such |
- | modular homes easily can be expanded to accommodate a | + | modular homes easily can be expanded to accommodate a |
- | growing family. A typical wedding present for the 21st | + | growing family. A typical wedding present for the 21st |
- | century newlyweds is a fully equipped bedroom, kitchen or | + | century newlyweds is a fully equipped bedroom, kitchen or |
- | living room module. | + | living room module. |
- | | + | Other conveniences ease kitchenwork. The housewife simply |
- | determines in advance her menus for the week, then slips | + | determines in advance her menus for the week, then slips |
- | prepackaged meals into the freezer and lets the automatic | + | prepackaged meals into the freezer and lets the automatic |
- | food utility do the rest. At preset times, each meal slides | + | food utility do the rest. At preset times, each meal slides |
- | into the microwave oven and is cooked or thawed. The meal | + | into the microwave oven and is cooked or thawed. The meal |
- | then is served on disposable plastic plates. These plates, | + | then is served on disposable plastic plates. These plates, |
- | as well as knives, forks and spoons of the same material, | + | as well as knives, forks and spoons of the same material, |
- | are so inexpensive they can be discarded after use. | + | are so inexpensive they can be discarded after use. |
- | | + | The single most important item in 2008 households is the |
- | computer. These electronic brains govern everything from | + | computer. These electronic brains govern everything from |
- | meal preparation and waking up the household to assembling | + | meal preparation and waking up the household to assembling |
- | shopping lists and keeping track of the bank balance. | + | shopping lists and keeping track of the bank balance. |
- | Sensors in kitchen appliances, climatizing units, | + | Sensors in kitchen appliances, climatizing units, |
- | communicators, | + | communicators, |
- | warn the computer when the item is likely to fail. A | + | warn the computer when the item is likely to fail. A |
- | repairman will show up even before any obvious breakdown | + | repairman will show up even before any obvious breakdown |
- | occurs. | + | occurs. |
- | | + | Computers also handle travel reservations, |
- | messages, keep track of birthdays and anniversaries, | + | messages, keep track of birthdays and anniversaries, |
- | taxes and even figure the monthly bills for electricity, | + | taxes and even figure the monthly bills for electricity, |
- | water, telephone and other utilities. Not every family has | + | water, telephone and other utilities. Not every family has |
- | its private computer. Many families reserve time on a city | + | its private computer. Many families reserve time on a city |
- | or regional computer to serve their needs. The machine | + | or regional computer to serve their needs. The machine |
- | tallies up its own services and submits a bill, just as it | + | tallies up its own services and submits a bill, just as it |
- | does with other utilities. | + | does with other utilities. |
- | | + | Money has all but disappeared. Employers deposit salary |
- | checks directly into their employees’ accounts. Credit cards | + | checks directly into their employees’ accounts. Credit cards |
- | are used for paying all bills. Each time you buy something, | + | are used for paying all bills. Each time you buy something, |
- | the card’s number is fed into the store’s computer station. | + | the card’s number is fed into the store’s computer station. |
- | A master computer then deducts the charge from your bank | + | A master computer then deducts the charge from your bank |
- | balance. | + | balance. |
- | | + | Computers not only keep track of money, they make spending |
- | it easier. TV-telephone shopping is common. To shop, you | + | it easier. TV-telephone shopping is common. To shop, you |
- | simply press the numbered code of a giant shopping center. | + | simply press the numbered code of a giant shopping center. |
- | You press another combination to zero in on the department | + | You press another combination to zero in on the department |
- | and the merchandise in which you are interested. When you | + | and the merchandise in which you are interested. When you |
- | see what you want, you press a number that signifies “buy,” | + | see what you want, you press a number that signifies “buy,” |
- | and the household computer takes over, places the order, | + | and the household computer takes over, places the order, |
- | notifies the store of the home address and subtracts the | + | notifies the store of the home address and subtracts the |
- | purchase price from your bank balance. Much of the family | + | purchase price from your bank balance. Much of the family |
- | shopping is done this way. Instead of being jostled by | + | shopping is done this way. Instead of being jostled by |
- | crowds, shoppers electronically browse through the | + | crowds, shoppers electronically browse through the |
- | merchandise of any number of stores. | + | merchandise of any number of stores. |
- | | + | People have more time for leisure activities in the year |
- | 2008. The average work day is about four hours. But the | + | 2008. The average work day is about four hours. But the |
- | extra time isn’t totally free. The pace of technological | + | extra time isn’t totally free. The pace of technological |
- | advance is such that a certain amount of a jobholder’s spare | + | advance is such that a certain amount of a jobholder’s spare |
- | time is used in keeping up with the new developments—on the | + | time is used in keeping up with the new developments—on the |
- | average, about two hours of home study a day. | + | average, about two hours of home study a day. |
- | | + | Most of this study is in the form of programmed TV courses, |
- | which can be rented or borrowed from tape _ * libraries. In | + | which can be rented or borrowed from tape _ * libraries. In |
- | fact most schooling—from first grade through | + | fact most schooling—from first grade through |
- | college—consists of programmed TV courses or lectures via | + | college—consists of programmed TV courses or lectures via |
- | closed circuit. Students visit a campus once or twice a week | + | closed circuit. Students visit a campus once or twice a week |
- | for personal consultations or for lab work that has to be | + | for personal consultations or for lab work that has to be |
- | done on site. Progress of each student is followed by | + | done on site. Progress of each student is followed by |
- | computer, which assigns end term marks on the basis of tests | + | computer, which assigns end term marks on the basis of tests |
- | given throughout the term. | + | given throughout the term. |
- | | + | Besides school lessons, other educational material is |
- | available for TV viewing. You simply press a combination of | + | available for TV viewing. You simply press a combination of |
- | buttons and the pages flash on your home screen. The world’s | + | buttons and the pages flash on your home screen. The world’s |
- | information is available to you almost instantaneously. | + | information is available to you almost instantaneously. |
- | | + | TV screens cover an entire wall in most homes and show most |
- | subjects other than straight text matter in color and three | + | subjects other than straight text matter in color and three |
- | dimensions. In addition to programmed TV and the | + | dimensions. In addition to programmed TV and the |
- | multiplicity of commercial fare, you can see top Broadway | + | multiplicity of commercial fare, you can see top Broadway |
- | shows, hit movies and current nightclub acts for a nominal | + | shows, hit movies and current nightclub acts for a nominal |
- | charge. Best-selling books are on TV tape and can be | + | charge. Best-selling books are on TV tape and can be |
- | borrowed or rented from tape libraries. | + | borrowed or rented from tape libraries. |
- | | + | A typical vacation in 2008 is to spend a week at an undersea |
- | resort, where your hotel room window looks out on a tropical | + | resort, where your hotel room window looks out on a tropical |
- | underwater reef, a sunken ship or an ancient, excavated | + | underwater reef, a sunken ship or an ancient, excavated |
- | city. Available to guests are two- and three-person | + | city. Available to guests are two- and three-person |
- | submarines in which you can cruise well-marked underwater | + | submarines in which you can cruise well-marked underwater |
- | trails. | + | trails. |
- | | + | Another vacation is a stay < on a hotel satellite. The |
- | rocket ride to the satellite and back, plus the vistas of | + | rocket ride to the satellite and back, plus the vistas of |
- | earth and moon, make a memorable vacation jaunt. | + | earth and moon, make a memorable vacation jaunt. |
- | | + | While city life in 2008 has changed greatly, the farm has |
- | altered even more. Farmers are business executives running | + | altered even more. Farmers are business executives running |
- | operations as automated as factories. TV scanners monitor | + | operations as automated as factories. TV scanners monitor |
- | tractors and other equipment computer programmed to plow, | + | tractors and other equipment computer programmed to plow, |
- | harrow and harvest. Wires imbedded in the ground send | + | harrow and harvest. Wires imbedded in the ground send |
- | control signals to the machines. Computers also keep track | + | control signals to the machines. Computers also keep track |
- | of yields-, fertilization, | + | of yields-, fertilization, |
- | factors influencing crops. At the beginning of each year, a | + | factors influencing crops. At the beginning of each year, a |
- | print-out tells the farmer what to plant where, how much to | + | print-out tells the farmer what to plant where, how much to |
- | fertilize and how much yield he can expect. | + | fertilize and how much yield he can expect. |
- | | + | Farming isn't confined to land. Mariculturists have turned |
- | areas of the sea into beds of protein-rich seaweed and | + | areas of the sea into beds of protein-rich seaweed and |
- | algae. This raw material is processed into food that looks | + | algae. This raw material is processed into food that looks |
- | and tastes like steak and other meats. It also is cheap; | + | and tastes like steak and other meats. It also is cheap; |
- | families can have steak-like meals twice a day without | + | families can have steak-like meals twice a day without |
- | feeling a budget pinch. Areas in bays or close to shore have | + | feeling a budget pinch. Areas in bays or close to shore have |
- | been turned into shrimp, lobster, clam and other shellfish | + | been turned into shrimp, lobster, clam and other shellfish |
- | ranches, like the cattle spreads of yesteryear. | + | ranches, like the cattle spreads of yesteryear. |
- | | + | Medical research has guaranteed that most babies born in the |
- | 21st century will live long and healthy lives. Heart disease | + | 21st century will live long and healthy lives. Heart disease |
- | has virtually been eliminated by drugs and diet. If hearts | + | has virtually been eliminated by drugs and diet. If hearts |
- | or other major organs do give trouble, they can be replaced | + | or other major organs do give trouble, they can be replaced |
- | with artificial organs. | + | with artificial organs. |
- | | + | Medical examinations are a matter of sitting in a diagnostic |
- | chair for a minute or two, then receiving a full health | + | chair for a minute or two, then receiving a full health |
- | report. Ultrasensitive microphones and electronic sensors in | + | report. Ultrasensitive microphones and electronic sensors in |
- | the chair' | + | the chair' |
- | pulse, breathing rate, galvanic skin response, blood | + | pulse, breathing rate, galvanic skin response, blood |
- | pressure, nerve reflexes and other medical signs. A computer | + | pressure, nerve reflexes and other medical signs. A computer |
- | attached to the chair digests these responses, compares them | + | attached to the chair digests these responses, compares them |
- | to the normal standard and prints out a full medical report. | + | to the normal standard and prints out a full medical report. |
- | | + | No need to worry about failing memory or intelligence |
- | either. The intelligence pill is another 21st century | + | either. The intelligence pill is another 21st century |
- | commodity. Slow learners or people struck with forgetful- | + | commodity. Slow learners or people struck with forgetful- |
- | ness are given pills which increase the production of | + | ness are given pills which increase the production of |
- | enzymes controlling production of the chemicals known to | + | enzymes controlling production of the chemicals known to |
- | control learning and memory. Everyone is able to use his | + | control learning and memory. Everyone is able to use his |
- | full mental potential. | + | full mental potential. |
- | | + | Despite the fact that the year 2008 is only 40 years away—as far |
+ | ahead as 1928 is in the past—it will be a world as strange to us | ||
+ | as our time (1968) would be to the pilgrims. | ||
info/40_years_from_now_-_2008.1210645806.txt.gz · Last modified: 2008/05/12 22:30 by 192.168.1.103