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info:march_2013_evaluating_yields [2013/03/12 18:12] tomgeeinfo:march_2013_evaluating_yields [2013/03/12 18:14] (current) tomgee
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   TRGP- Targa (GP for NGLS): 3% growing at 36%   TRGP- Targa (GP for NGLS): 3% growing at 36%
   ENB - Enbridge (2.9% growing at 15%)   ENB - Enbridge (2.9% growing at 15%)
 +
    
-The basic reason for this divide is that investors will pay more for the higher growth rates.This raises the share price and thus lowers the dividend yield.+The basic reason for this divide is that investors will pay more for the higher growth rates.This raises the share price and thus lowers the dividend yield.\\ 
    
-How should one evaluate the two classes? I suggest adding the curent yield to the growth rate to derive an adjusted yield. E.g., assume stock XYZ is valued at 100 and pays a $5 div. per year. Let's assume a constant growth rate of 20% per year. So after 1 year, it pays a $6 dividend. Other things being equal, the market would still be willing to pay $120 for the stock's 5% dividend. This can be verified in several cases: the rise in share price mtches the rise in dividends while the yield remains the same.+How should one evaluate the two classes? I suggest adding the curent yield to the growth rate to derive an adjusted yield. E.g., assume stock XYZ is valued at 100 and pays a $5 div. per year. Let's assume a constant growth rate of 20% per year. So after 1 year, it pays a $6 dividend. Other things being equal, the market would still be willing to pay $120 for the stock's 5% dividend. This can be verified in several cases: the rise in share price mtches the rise in dividends while the yield remains the same.\\ 
    
-But beware that growth rates are choppy and that, worst case, without prospects of continued growth, XYZ might see its "expected growth rate" decline from 20% per year to 0%. This would require the yield to jump to 10% to maintain market interest, i.e., a drop from 100 to 60 as the dividend increases while the yield doubles.+But beware that growth rates are choppy and that, worst case, without prospects of continued growth, XYZ might see its "expected growth rate" decline from 20% per year to 0%. This would require the yield to jump to 10% to maintain market interest, i.e., a drop from 100 to 60 as the dividend increases while the yield doubles.\\ 
    
-In case I've convinced anyone, here's a list with "adjusted yield" > 20:+In case I've convinced anyone, here's a list with "adjusted yield" > 20:\\ 
    
 TRGP, NTI, TLLP, XTXI, XTEX, OKE, EPB, CMP, OKS, SXL TRGP, NTI, TLLP, XTXI, XTEX, OKE, EPB, CMP, OKS, SXL
  
info/march_2013_evaluating_yields.1363126360.txt.gz · Last modified: 2013/03/12 18:12 by tomgee